Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.399278 3.760799 4.152801 4.610797 5.132923 5.711604 6.404236
2025-08-10 2.880024 3.363049 3.923290 4.626206 5.491686 6.531780 7.890418
2025-08-17 2.480005 3.005541 3.644347 4.487599 5.585915 6.988353 8.948197
2025-08-24 2.221177 2.772167 3.467448 4.423917 5.729022 7.483097 10.081663
2025-08-31 2.035094 2.603737 3.344494 4.400454 5.901283 8.012710 11.311453
2025-09-07 1.936546 2.535979 3.340651 4.527453 6.282316 8.864906 13.121423
2025-09-14 1.805968 2.410631 3.242722 4.505415 6.436134 9.389798 14.491473
2025-09-21 1.687290 2.290616 3.139385 4.460743 6.543606 9.845707 15.804918
2025-09-28 1.540851 2.119567 2.947900 4.263743 6.388877 9.856311 16.342633
2025-10-05 1.473698 2.058200 2.911695 4.299806 6.606624 10.501591 18.110525
2025-10-12 1.424191 2.018759 2.904131 4.378018 6.898319 11.303713 20.302081
2025-10-19 1.380339 1.984299 2.900594 4.460471 7.202721 12.161904 22.752286
2025-10-26 1.330871 1.939431 2.879625 4.515716 7.471981 13.003694 25.364864
2025-11-02 1.278725 1.887042 2.842823 4.540525 7.688595 13.774192 27.985001
2025-11-09 1.199435 1.786679 2.721023 4.406433 7.593611 13.910224 29.172978
2025-11-16 1.140786 1.716098 2.643652 4.344362 7.628461 14.314057 31.081361
2025-11-23 1.094031 1.662193 2.590593 4.321448 7.736389 14.884486 33.528078
2025-11-30 1.076436 1.655234 2.616547 4.445627 8.151283 16.181575 38.191590
2025-12-07 1.035549 1.606878 2.567571 4.424081 8.262743 16.808526 41.167709
2025-12-14 0.993977 1.555184 2.509568 4.380403 8.322347 17.321815 43.944288
2025-12-21 0.932126 1.465888 2.379962 4.187759 8.042070 16.982094 44.061149
2025-12-28 0.908517 1.441662 2.365992 4.223028 8.266335 17.915350 48.423364
2026-01-04 0.892155 1.429183 2.372456 4.299513 8.590820 19.152219 54.160769